(Reuters) – Barclays said on Wednesday it no longer expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in January, compared with an earlier forecast of a 25-basis-point hike.
Rates will remain unchanged until December next year, the brokerage said.
The brokerage expects the central bank to start cutting rates by 25 bps every other meeting after the end of next year which would bring the Fed funds target range to 5.00-5.25% at the end of 2024 and 4.00-4.25% by the 2025 end.
“We continue to think, however, that risks are tilted to the upside, with rate hikes likely in 2024, if progress on disinflation stalls,” economists at Barclays led by Marc Giannoni said.
Fed officials agreed at their last policy meeting that they would proceed “carefully” and raise interest rates only if progress in controlling inflation faltered, the minutes of the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 gathering showed on Tuesday.
(Reporting by Subhadeep Chakravarty; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Dhanya Ann Thoppil)
